A new course “Addressing Climate-related Uncertainty” will be piloted this February 11-15, 2013 at the US Fish and Wildlife Service’s National Conservation Training Center facility in Shepherdstown, WV. The course is being designed in partnership with staff and scientists from the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, U.S. Geological Survey and the National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration. The course will provide participants with a foundation in structured decision making in the context of natural resource management problems addressing climate-related uncertainty. It will also illustrate applications to water resource management, mitigation, and endangered species decisions.
A key aspect of the training will occur in capstone teams. Before the course, participants will submit a description of a decision that they’re facing. It might be a listing decision, FERC relicensing study plan request, recovery or conservation plan, mitigation determination, or another decision that you would like to structure in a way that incorporates climate change effects. If your decision problem is selected, you will ‘own’ it and become the coordinator for that team for training purposes. This will provide context and practice in applying principles of decision analysis to address uncertainty for real-life examples.
At the end of this course, you will be able to:
- Identify expected ecological impacts of climate change
- Apply the fundamental elements of decision analysis to reach a recommendation that addresses climate-related impacts and uncertainties
- Describe the process of using adaptive management for reducing uncertainty in managing natural resources within existing regulatory frameworks
- Learn how to classify and incorporate different types of uncertainty about system change
- Articulate the role of predictive models in adaptive management and know the desired qualities of a set of alternative models when faced with system change
- Compare modes of learning about system change and understand when and how to use different approaches
- Perform a sensitivity analysis of the decision to new information and calculate the risk and tradeoffs between learning before acting, learning while acting, and acting then learning