The National Park Service (NPS) has released a guidance document Using Scenarios to Explore Climate Change: A Handbook for Practitioners.

This handbook describes the five-step process for developing multivariate climate change scenarios taught by the Global Business Network (GBN) during a series of training workshops hosted by the National Park Service in 2010 and 2011. The authors created this guide as a reference for workshop participants who possess some familiarity with scenario planning. While the process featured in this manual is not a definitive method for building climate change scenarios – since many valid methods exist to develop climate change scenarios – the technique presented here is just one effective and proven approach.

The Handbook was Developed under the National Park Service Climate Change Response Strategy, this guide is part of an interdisciplinary, cross-cutting approach to addressing climate change. The overall program supports NPS efforts to understand climate science in national parks and surrounding areas and to adapt to a changing climate to promote the resiliency of our cultural and natural heritage. Actively engaging ourselves and our audiences in park stewardship is a key ingredient of the climate change communication strategy and an integral component in addressing the effects of climate change. 

To learn more about the National Park Service Climate Change Response Strategy, visit